Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.582565 0.646326 0.715241 0.795435 0.886408 0.986655 1.105821
2025-08-10 0.483559 0.571858 0.674747 0.804259 0.963994 1.155931 1.406088
2025-08-17 0.414970 0.511409 0.629434 0.785966 0.990305 1.251027 1.613777
2025-08-24 0.377450 0.481084 0.613127 0.796046 1.046573 1.383152 1.879004
2025-08-31 0.342852 0.449275 0.589480 0.790936 1.078344 1.482024 2.107266
2025-09-07 0.317700 0.426689 0.574621 0.794301 1.119587 1.595591 2.368229
2025-09-14 0.291846 0.400326 0.551396 0.782255 1.135441 1.671427 2.578874
2025-09-21 0.270923 0.378854 0.532740 0.774211 1.155054 1.753161 2.807290
2025-09-28 0.246758 0.350653 0.501733 0.744154 1.136521 1.771108 2.929183
2025-10-05 0.237388 0.343440 0.501100 0.760530 1.192958 1.916308 3.290766
2025-10-12 0.227977 0.335336 0.498238 0.772676 1.242967 2.055255 3.659811
2025-10-19 0.218062 0.325660 0.492026 0.778469 1.282179 2.178795 4.016563
2025-10-26 0.207906 0.315105 0.483923 0.780861 1.316518 2.299041 4.389177
2025-11-02 0.199577 0.306918 0.479057 0.788350 1.360763 2.443080 4.834795
2025-11-09 0.187197 0.291301 0.460735 0.770519 1.356064 2.491481 5.081898
2025-11-16 0.180894 0.285291 0.458083 0.780364 1.404505 2.650674 5.602062
2025-11-23 0.172540 0.275290 0.447859 0.775372 1.423319 2.750943 6.002144
2025-11-30 0.166205 0.268320 0.442385 0.778660 1.458685 2.889876 6.519367
2025-12-07 0.157983 0.257604 0.429575 0.766892 1.462001 2.959266 6.874094
2025-12-14 0.150949 0.248574 0.419220 0.759033 1.472610 3.045960 7.289317
2025-12-21 0.141298 0.234413 0.398717 0.729665 1.434652 3.017050 7.388029
2025-12-28 0.138632 0.232605 0.400828 0.745666 1.496646 3.229604 8.198927
2026-01-04 0.135536 0.229834 0.400936 0.757533 1.550589 3.429782 9.016973